2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Officially Begins, Experts Predict Above-Average Activity
Augusta, GA — As of June 1st, the Atlantic hurricane season is officially underway, and meteorologists are urging residents in Augusta and surrounding areas to stay vigilant. Early forecasts suggest that 2025 could be a notably active year for tropical storms and hurricanes.
According to a recent outlook from Colorado State University, the Atlantic basin may experience as many as 17 named storms, including 9 hurricanes, with 4 potentially reaching major hurricane status. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) offers a similar forecast, predicting between 13 and 19 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes, and 3 to 5 major hurricanes. By comparison, an average season typically sees 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.
Experts attribute the heightened activity this year to an ENSO-neutral climate pattern, meaning neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions are present. “Without the disruptive influence of El Niño’s upper-level winds, tropical storms in the Atlantic have a better chance of forming and strengthening,” said a NOAA spokesperson. Warm ocean temperatures in the tropical Atlantic also contribute to creating favorable conditions for storms to develop and intensify rapidly.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has announced several important improvements designed to help communities better prepare for potential threats this season. Watches and warnings for tropical storms and hurricanes can now be issued up to 72 hours in advance, compared to the previous 48-hour window. Upgrades to forecasting models have improved the accuracy of track and intensity predictions by approximately 5%, while rapid intensification forecasts have improved by 5 to 7%.
The “cone of uncertainty” — a graphic that shows the probable path of a storm — has also been reduced by 3 to 5%, allowing for clearer identification of areas at greatest risk. Additionally, forecasts for hurricane-force winds now extend to 72 hours, providing more time for residents and officials to respond.
New communication tools include an experimental cone graphic that highlights overlapping warnings and watches, as well as the introduction of a National Rip Current Risk Map and enhanced storm surge forecasts, particularly for Hawaii.
Local officials are encouraging residents to review their emergency preparedness plans, assemble emergency kits, and stay tuned to updates from the National Hurricane Center and local weather services throughout the season.
“With the potential for an above-average hurricane season, now is the time for communities to stay informed and ready,” said a local emergency management official.
